The Prediction of Extreme Events

  • The Story of E. J. Gumbel

E. J. Gumbel was one of the first to describe and understand extreme events through extreme value statistics, but forgotten is his political life that made him once one of the most exposed enemies of the Nazis, fighting against populism and the rise of fascism. ‚The Prediction of Extreme Events‘, tells the story of his life through animation, archive material and interviews.

A documentary film of 60 minutes length, with animations by the artist Nuno Viegas

„People like Gumbel are essential if we are ever to build a healthy political framework for our society.“
Albert Einstein, 1929

„A man for whom the moral, the healing, the Socratic truth is more sacred than his own well-being.“
Stefan Zweig, 1932

Team

Directing:  David Ruf
Animation:  Nuno Viegas
DOP:  Dominik Berg
Motion Design:  Anja Hartmann, Sebastian
Editing: Anne Goldenbaum, David Ruf
Voice Actor: Andreas Hykade
Narrator: Walter Sittler
Sounddesign: Luis Schöffend
Music: Andreas Skandy
Producer: Hartmut Schwenk
Comissioning Editor: Marcus Vetter, SWR

A co-production of Schwenk Film, Rocinante Film and SWR for the series Junger Dokumentarfilm in cooperation with MFG Filmförderung Baden-Württemberg.

Link: The Prediction of Extreme Events